基于未确知测度理论的矿井通风安全评价

Colliery ventilation safety evaluation on the basis of the unascertained measure

  • 摘要: 运用未确知测度理论建立矿井通风系统安全评价指标体系,构造了未确知测度模型,计算了各评价指标的未确知测度值.根据置信度识别准则进行等级判定,得出了评价结果.该评价方法能解决矿井通风评价中诸多因素不确定性问题,还能对其进行定量分析.实例表明,用未确知测度评价模型对矿井通风安全进行评价,其计算结果与实际运行情况很吻合.

     

    Abstract: A result of safety evaluation was educed according to the rules of credible recognition after a index system in colliery ventilation safety evaluation was established. An unascertained measure model was constructed and the unascertained measure values of all evaluation indexes were calculated. This method can solve a lot of unascertained problems in ventilation system evaluation, and also can analyze the ventilation system quantitatively. Exemplification indicates that the evaluation result is consistent with actual instance if the method of unascertained measure evaluation is applied in colliery ventilation safety evaluation.

     

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