海外油气效益产量“二步决策法”研究及应用

Research and application of a two-step decision-making method for efficient overseas oil and gas production

  • 摘要: 海外油气项目具有投入大、风险大、回收期长等特点,开展效益产量决策方法研究对提升石油公司整体经营实力、提高抗风险能力举足轻重. 本文旨在建立一套系统全面的效益产量经营决策方法,通过抓准项目效益影响因素,构建基于全局满意解集的效益产量“二步决策法”,实现一套“可全面可聚焦”的系统决策优选技术模型,最终以优选出的组合作为效益产量推荐方案,助推海外油气资产保值增值. 本文创建的海外油气效益产量“二步决策法”,在国内某石油公司海外业务板块近4年的油气资产生产经营中取得了较好的应用效果,为该石油公司海外油气资产提效增效和高质量发展提供了可靠的技术支持. 该方法也同样适用于国内上游油气开发板块效益产量优化决策,值得借鉴及推广.

     

    Abstract: The commitment of substantial resources to overseas oil and gas assets signifies a strategic endeavor of considerable scale, implicating consequential impacts on the asset valuation of comprehensive petroleum corporations. Consequently, the adept management of these assets, specifically in terms of profitability, has surfaced as a paramount area of scholarly inquiry within the domain of production and operations management for overseas oil and gas assets. In this context, the formulation of a holistic profit management decision-making framework emerges as a critical fulcrum, pivotal for harnessing and optimizing the overarching benefits of such projects. This study focuses on the formulation of an advanced optimization technique rooted in a “two-step decision-making” paradigm, predicated on a comprehensive set of globally satisfactory solutions. This technique is not merely a methodological innovation but also a strategic tool designed to achieve dual-objective optimization—it is both encompassing and focused. Such a methodological proposition enables a nuanced and refined decision-making process, enhancing the efficacy and strategic alignment of decisions within the ambit of overseas oil and gas asset management. The essence of the proposed technique lies in its capability to provide a robust and versatile decision-making framework, facilitating a balanced and informed decision-making process for stakeholders. By leveraging this approach, decision-makers are endowed with a methodological tool that aids in navigating the complexities inherent in managing overseas oil and gas assets, thereby ensuring that strategic decisions are both informed and aligned with broader organizational objectives. The practical utility of the proposed “two-step decision-making” technique has been substantiated through its application in overseas oil and gas asset management over the recent triennium. Its application has yielded noteworthy outcomes, enhancing the efficiency and production optimization of overseas oil fields and contributing to the high-quality development of these assets. The pronounced effectiveness of this technique in practical scenarios underscores its potential as a strategic tool, offering significant insights and operational advantages that extend beyond the immediate context of its application. Moreover, the implications of this technique are not only confined to the overseas context but also resonate with the operational dynamics of domestic oil companies. By providing a nuanced framework for decision-making and optimization, this technique offers valuable lessons and strategic insights that can be adapted and applied within the domestic oil sector, potentially catalyzing efficiency enhancements and operational optimization. In conclusion, the proposed technique represents a significant methodological advancement in the strategic management of overseas oil and gas assets. Its dual focus on comprehensiveness and specificity, coupled with its proven practical applicability, positions it as a valuable strategic resource, meriting consideration for broader adoption and integration within the strategic frameworks of oil and gas companies operating globally.

     

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