危岩崩塌灾害动力学监测预警系统及工程应用

Dynamic monitoring and warning system for unstable rock collapse and its engineering application

  • 摘要: 危岩崩塌灾害具有分布广、频率高以及突发特性,是三大地质灾害中最难监测预警的灾害之一. 目前基于宏观位移的监测方法难以满足危岩崩塌早期预警的需求,本文提出基于牛顿第二定律的边坡动力学新理论和微芯智能监测预警新技术,形成了“技术+管理”的突发岩土灾害态势感知与防灾减灾新模式. 从危岩崩塌失稳动力学理论、监测预警技术、关键问题讨论和应用前景与案例四个方面进行分析论述. 首先,突破传统极限平衡理论提出基于牛顿第二定律的边坡动力学理论,并基于危岩体概化的单摆质子模型,构建了可反映危岩非线性破坏特征的脱离程度的动力稳定评价方法. 其次,提出了静力学、动力学、运动学和环境量的“四位一体”监测指标体系,并在动力学智能传感装备云边融合等技术基础上,提出了技术监测和工程管理相结合的危岩崩塌灾害防治思想. 最后,对动力学监测预警系统的后续研究方向进行了展望,并借助库区岩质边坡、矿山边帮岩体开展了应用效果分析,为突发性脆性灾害的科学防控研究提供参考.

     

    Abstract: Rock collapse disasters, characterized by their broad spatial distribution, recurrent occurrence, and abrupt unpredictability, are considered one of the most formidable geological hazards that can be monitored and predicted among the three major geological disasters. To address the limitations of current macroscopic displacement-based monitoring methods in meeting early warning requirements for rock collapse, we propose a novel slope dynamics theory based on Newton’s second law and develop micro-core intelligent monitoring and early warning technology, thereby establishing an innovative “technology-management integration” framework for situational awareness and disaster prevention/mitigation of sudden geotechnical hazards. This study systematically analyzes and discusses theories of rock mass instability dynamics, monitoring and early warning technologies, critical issues, and application prospects using case studies from four key perspectives: theoretical framework, technological innovation, methodological challenges, and practical implementation. First, transcending the traditional limit equilibrium theory, a slope dynamics theory based on Newton’s second law is proposed. Using a pendulum proton model generalized from dangerous rock masses, a dynamic stability evaluation method is established to characterize the degree of detachment, reflecting the nonlinear failure characteristics of dangerous rocks. Second, a “four-in-one” monitoring index system integrating static, dynamic, kinematic, and environmental parameters was developed. Building upon cloud-edge integration technologies for intelligent dynamic sensing equipment, a disaster prevention concept combining technical monitoring and engineering management is formulated for dangerous rock collapses. Finally, future research directions for dynamic monitoring and early warning systems are proposed. The proposed slope dynamics theory is applied to reservoir rock slopes and mine-side slope rock masses to provide references for scientific prevention and control research on sudden brittle disasters. The key innovations include the following: (1) the development of a slope dynamics theory that transcends traditional limit equilibrium analysis. (2) A pendulum proton model generalized from unstable rock masses enables dynamic stability assessment by quantifying the detachment severity through nonlinear failure characteristics. (3) Creation of a four-dimensional monitoring index system integrating static, dynamic, kinematic, and environmental parameters. By leveraging cloud-edge collaborative intelligent sensing, this framework combines technical monitoring with engineering governance to prevent rock collapses. (4) Case validations of the Houziyan open-top rock slope and surrounding rock mass in the Hainan metal mine demonstrated the operational efficacy of the proposed real-time multi-model early warning system. The dynamics theory resolves stability evaluation challenges across rock collapse evolutionary phases, whereas four-dimensional metrics enable data-driven safety alerts. To achieve early warning of brittle rock collapse disasters and overcome the critical limitation that conventional displacement-based warning technologies can only provide last-minute alerts (typically on a minute-to-second timescale), developing advanced early warning mechanisms with intelligent sensing systems is imperative for future disaster prevention. This study comprehensively reviewed emerging destabilization dynamics theories, intelligent sensing technologies, and novel technology-management integration frameworks from a multidisciplinary perspective. Considering two representative case studies, we systematically examined the practical implementation of dynamic monitoring and early warning systems in geological disaster prevention. Future efforts must prioritize theoretical robustness, sensor innovation, and artificial intelligence (AI) integration to enable proactive disaster prevention in infrastructure, mining, and reservoir projects.

     

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