汽车产业全生命周期碳足迹评价及降碳策略

Carbon Footprint Assessment and Carbon Reduction Strategies in the Full Life Cycle of the Automotive Industry

  • 摘要: 交通运输业贡献了全球约20%的碳排放,其中道路车辆占比高达80%。为推进交通领域低碳转型,本研究基于全生命周期评价框架,系统对比分析了近十年燃油车、纯电动汽车、混合动力汽车及燃料电池汽车在生产、使用和报废三阶段的碳排放特征,并提出针对性降碳策略。结果显示,碳排放阶段性差异显著,生产阶段贡献生命周期排放的25%-50%,其中纯电动车和燃料电池车因动力电池及燃料电池制造占比最高;使用阶段占50%-70%,传统燃油车碳排放强度远超纯电动车与燃料电池车;报废阶段占7%-22%,新能源汽车的电池回收为主要排放源;碳排放区域与技术动态影响明显,电网清洁度差异使纯电动车减排效益波动达40%;制氢方式中电解水(较化石制氢减排超55%。为此提出工艺优化、能源替代、技术创新三位一体协同降碳路径:生产阶段通过车辆每减重1 kg可减碳10.59 kgCO2的轻量化技术,焊接冷却系统优化削减20%-30%碳排放、涂装烘烤炉改造降碳24%,以及LFP电池绿电生产降碳超 50% 的绿色合成实现减排;使用阶段依托清洁能源发电使电动车碳强度预计降60%、绿氢制氢减碳超55%;报废阶段推广湿法冶金可较传统降碳67%与电池梯次利用可额外减排20%-30%。研究为汽车产业碳中和提供系统化科学依据。

     

    Abstract: The transportation sector contributes approximately 20% of global carbon emissions, with road vehicles accounting for as high as 80% of this proportion. To advance the low-carbon transition in the transportation field, this study, based on a life cycle assessment framework, systematically compares and analyzes the carbon emission characteristics of fuel vehicles, battery electric vehicles (BEVs), hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs), and fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) across the three stages of production, use, and end-of-life over the past decade, and proposes targeted carbon reduction strategies. The results reveal significant stage-specific differences in carbon emissions: the production stage contributes 25%-50% of life cycle emissions, with BEVs and FCVs accounting for the highest proportion due to the manufacturing of power batteries and fuel cells; the use stage makes up 50%-70%, where the carbon emission intensity of traditional fuel vehicles far exceeds that of BEVs and FCVs; the end-of-life stage accounts for 7%-22%, with battery recycling of new energy vehicles being the main emission source. Notably, carbon emissions are significantly affected by regional and technological dynamics: differences in grid cleanliness lead to a 40% fluctuation in the emission reduction benefits of BEVs; among hydrogen production methods, water electrolysis reduces emissions by over 55% compared to fossil-based hydrogen production. Accordingly, a three-in-one collaborative carbon reduction pathway of "process optimization - energy substitution - technological innovation" is proposed: in the production stage, carbon reduction is achieved through lightweighting, upgrading of welding and painting processes, and green synthesis of batteries; in the use stage, it relies on the promotion of clean power grids and green hydrogen; in the end-of-life stage, hydrometallurgy and cascade utilization are promoted. This study provides a systematic scientific basis for carbon neutrality in the automotive industry.

     

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