基于数据机理融合的重大工程材料服役安全评价研究进展

Research progress on the service safety assessment of major engineering materials based on data–mechanism integration

  • 摘要: 随着重大工程结构向大型化、复杂化及极端环境服役方向发展,材料服役安全评价面临着多因素耦合、跨尺度损伤演化、环境介质作用以及长周期性能退化等复杂挑战. 传统依赖单一数据驱动模型或物理机理模型的方法,往往难以同时兼顾高精度、高可靠性和工程适用性,难以满足复杂结构材料在实际服役条件下的安全评估需求. 因此,基于数据与机理融合的协同建模与评价方法逐渐成为研究热点. 近年来,研究者提出了多种融合策略,包括统计学方法、机器学习与深度学习模型、物理机理约束模型以及数据–机理混合的优化预测模型,用于材料疲劳、断裂、腐蚀及磨损等多种失效模式的安全评价. 通过融合模型可以充分利用实验数据、服役监测数据和理论机理知识,实现对材料寿命、失效概率及风险因素的精确预测. 文献研究表明,数据驱动与机理模型的融合在复杂服役环境下的材料安全评价中具有显著优势,不仅能够提升寿命预测精度和可靠性分析的可信度,还能为重大工程结构的设计优化、维护决策及风险管理提供科学依据和工程指导.

     

    Abstract: The continuous development of major engineering systems toward larger scales, higher integration levels, and more severe service environments has posed increasing challenges to the safety assessment of engineering materials. Infrastructure systems, such as oil and gas transmission pipelines, nuclear power facilities, offshore structures, and transportation equipment, are often required to operate under complex conditions involving high temperature, high pressure, corrosive media, cyclic loading, and long service durations. Under these conditions, materials undergo progressive degradation processes governed by the coupling of mechanical, chemical, and microstructural factors, leading to cross-scale damage evolution and long-term performance deterioration. These characteristics substantially increase the uncertainty and difficulty associated with service-safety evaluation and lifetime prediction. Conventional safety assessment approaches are primarily based on physics-based mechanistic models or empirical formulations. While mechanistic models offer clear physical interpretations, they generally rely on idealized assumptions and simplified boundary conditions, which limit their applicability in capturing nonlinear damage accumulation and stochastic degradation under realistic service conditions. In contrast, data-driven methods, including statistical analysis and machine learning techniques, have demonstrated strong capabilities in extracting correlations from large datasets and performing efficient predictions. However, their effectiveness is often constrained by data availability, limited interpretability, and insufficient extrapolation capability when applied to complex or previously unobserved service scenarios. In recent years, data–mechanism integrated approaches have been increasingly investigated to address the limitations of single-model strategies. This paper presents a systematic review of recent advances in data–mechanism integration methods for the service safety assessment of major engineering materials. Typical service-induced failure modes, including corrosion, wear, fatigue, and fracture, are first summarized, with emphasis on their multifactor coupling characteristics and damage evolution mechanisms across different length scales. Representative engineering cases are discussed to illustrate the complexity of material degradation processes and the challenges faced by traditional evaluation methods. Commonly used assessment methodologies are then categorized and analyzed, including mechanistic models, statistical reliability approaches, and machine learning-based prediction methods. The advantages and limitations of each category are critically examined. Particular attention is given to three representative data–mechanism integration frameworks: tandem models, parallel models, and deeply integrated models. Tandem models employ data-driven techniques to identify or calibrate parameters within mechanistic models to improve predictive performance. Parallel models combine predictions from mechanistic and data-driven models to enhance robustness. Deep integration approaches, such as physics-informed neural networks and digital twin frameworks, explicitly incorporate physical laws into learning architectures to improve generalization and physical consistency. Existing experimental studies and engineering applications indicate that data–mechanism integrated methods can provide more reliable predictions of corrosion rates, fatigue life, and damage evolution trends under complex service conditions compared with conventional single-model approaches. These methods offer a promising pathway for improving the accuracy and credibility of service safety assessments. Finally, key challenges and future research directions are discussed, including multisource data integration, uncertainty quantification, model interpretability, and the establishment of standardized evaluation frameworks. This review provides a systematic reference for advancing service safety assessment methodologies and supports the reliable operation and lifecycle management of major engineering systems.

     

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